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Dan Jones

More on Cisco's WiMax Ambitions

September 28, 2007 | Dan Jones | Post a comment
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2:28 PM -- Following Unstrung's story that Cisco Systems Inc. (Nasdaq: CSCO) will soon buy into WiMax, ThinkEquity LLC is predicting that the networking giant will buy Navini Networks Inc.

Navini is one of the companies on our short list of the WiMax companies that Cisco has been examining as acquisition prospects. The others are Alvarion Ltd. (Nasdaq: ALVR), Aperto Networks Inc. , and Redline Communications Inc. . (See Cisco Wooing WiMax Vendors?.)

The analysts write:

    We believe there are several reasons Cisco would choose Navini over a public company such as Alvarion: (1) Navini has beamforming technology which is critical for the best possible WiMax performance, (2) Navini is deployed with AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) in several markets such as Florida, Georgia and Louisiana and (3) Navini has made good progress on the 802.16e standard having skipped 802.16d. In essence, beamforming makes MIMO [multiple antenna] technology really useful, allowing a cell to dynamically expand to reach specific users.

The analysts estimate that Navini has an "enterprise value of $1,048M, or a 3.4x multiple to our 2008 revenue estimate of $306M."

— Dan Jones, Site Editor, Unstrung

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